AHLDashboard
Saturday, March 1

Rockford IceHogs at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Rockford IceHogs
3:2
Final / OT
Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

RFDTUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
2.23.4
High danger
22
Chances
814
Shots
3035

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TUC above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal35
8Scoring chances14
2High-danger chances2
2.22Expected goals3.43

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13400000.50.2
2nd51938020.52.1
3rd101246100.91.2
OT2010100.40.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
3.43
GSAx
+1.43
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
2.22
GSAx
-0.78

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:40Zach Sanford (1–0)low · 49 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 1st 8:00Penalty
  • 1st 10:51Penalty
  • 2nd 4:28Dmitry Kuzmin (2–0)low · 65 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 5:51Penalty
  • 2nd 9:35Penalty
  • 2nd 12:03Penalty
  • 2nd 15:06Penalty
  • 2nd 16:08Andrew Agozzino (2–1)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 10:01Egor Sokolov (2–2)medium · 18 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • OT 1:36Zach Sanford (3–2)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber