AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 2

Syracuse Crunch at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Syracuse Crunch
4:5
Final / OT
Utica Comets

The sheet

SYRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
27%73%
xG
2.24.2
High danger
47
Chances
814
Shots
2330

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal30
8Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances7
2.23Expected goals4.18

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–52–21–10.8–0.5
2nd8–135–62–31.0–1.5
3rd5–111–51–20.3–1.6
OT1–10–10–10.1–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC116:56 of the 3rd3:042:25+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
4.18
GSAx
-0.82
Isaac Poulter
Shots faced
23
Saves
19
Allowed
4
xGA
2.23
GSAx
-1.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:04Penalty
  • 2nd 2:38Penalty
  • 2nd 2:38Penalty
  • 2nd 2:56Steven Santini (1–0)medium · 21 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 4:24Ryan Schmelzer (1–1)medium · 15 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 5:47Nolan Foote (1–2)high · 21 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 7:39Penalty
  • 2nd 8:38Penalty
  • 2nd 10:57Penalty
  • 2nd 10:57Penalty
  • 2nd 12:29Adam Beckman (1–3)5v4 · high · 30 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 15:31Penalty
  • 2nd 16:20Jack Finley (2–3)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 5:28Penalty
  • 3rd 7:42Steven Santini (3–3)low · 58 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 7:57Penalty
  • 3rd 8:04Max Crozier (4–3)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 18:03Penalty
  • 3rd 19:21Brian Halonen (4–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • OT 1:59Adam Beckman (4–5)grade A · 8 ft · beat Brandon Halverson