AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 2

Henderson Silver Knights at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
5:6
Final / OT
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

HSKSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
14%86%
xG
2.25.3
High danger
310
Chances
917
Shots
2546

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

024P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal46
9Scoring chances17
3High-danger chances10
2.19Expected goals5.25

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–223–71–40.8–2.3
2nd10–133–62–40.9–1.5
3rd6–103–30–10.5–0.8
OT0–10–10–10.0–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ215:11 of the 3rd4:494:02+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Akira Schmid
Shots faced
46
Saves
40
Allowed
6
xGA
5.25
GSAx
-0.75
Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.19
GSAx
-2.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:09Lucas Carlsson (0–1)low · 36 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 1st 15:43Andrew Poturalski (0–2)grade A · rebound · 23 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 1st 19:09Penalty
  • 1st 19:40Alexander Holtz (1–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 18 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 3:15Penalty
  • 2nd 8:18Penalty
  • 2nd 9:34Danil Gushchin (1–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 2nd 15:39Penalty
  • 2nd 15:54Alexander Holtz (2–3)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 17:49Alexander Holtz (3–3)low · 23 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 2:36Penalty
  • 3rd 5:11Penalty
  • 3rd 5:11Penalty
  • 3rd 10:58Penalty
  • 3rd 12:10Alexander Holtz (4–3)5v4 · medium · 37 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 15:11Kai Uchacz (5–3)medium · 25 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 16:41Danil Gushchin (5–4)low · 40 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 19:28Danil Gushchin (5–5)low · 40 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • OT 0:41Ethan Cardwell (5–6)grade A · 14 ft · beat Akira Schmid