AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, March 4

Grand Rapids Griffins at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Grand Rapids Griffins
2:5
Final
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

GRMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
3.12.7
High danger
58
Chances
1412
Shots
3723

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal23
14Scoring chances12
5High-danger chances8
3.12Expected goals2.73

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16–44–21–11.0–0.5
2nd11–85–32–21.1–0.7
3rd10–115–72–51.0–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−3−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR30:00 of the 3rd20:0018:54+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Domenic DiVincentiis
Shots faced
37
Saves
35
Allowed
2
xGA
3.11
GSAx
+1.11
Jack Campbell
Shots faced
23
Saves
18
Allowed
5
xGA
2.73
GSAx
-2.27

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:23Axel Jonsson-Fjällby (0–1)medium · 15 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 1st 1:38Penalty
  • 1st 14:56Penalty
  • 2nd 11:27Mark Liwiski (0–2)medium · 25 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 2nd 13:20Penalty
  • 2nd 13:31Dominic Toninato (0–3)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 2nd 17:04Penalty
  • 2nd 19:59Penalty
  • 2nd 19:59Penalty
  • 2nd 19:59Penalty
  • 3rd 5:09Penalty
  • 3rd 6:20Penalty
  • 3rd 6:47Shai Buium (1–3)5v4 · high · 35 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 7:53Axel Jonsson-Fjällby (1–4)4v5 · high · 12 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 10:39Tyson Empey (1–5)high · 18 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 11:59Penalty
  • 3rd 15:06Cross Hanas (2–5)low · 36 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 16:31Penalty
  • 3rd 19:24Penalty
  • 3rd 19:24Penalty
  • 3rd 19:24Penalty
  • 3rd 19:24Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Penalty