AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, March 4

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Coachella Valley Firebirds
6:1
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

CVCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
90%10%
xG
4.21.7
High danger
132
Chances
175
Shots
3020

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal20
17Scoring chances5
13High-danger chances2
4.23Expected goals1.66

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–75–04–01.4–0.4
2nd6–83–23–10.8–0.8
3rd16–59–36–12.0–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devin Cooley
Shots faced
30
Saves
24
Allowed
6
xGA
4.23
GSAx
-1.77
Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
20
Saves
19
Allowed
1
xGA
1.66
GSAx
+0.66

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:31Tye Kartye (1–0)low · 34 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 8:51Jacob Melanson (2–0)grade A · wrist · rebound · 11 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 10:58Penalty
  • 1st 13:36Penalty
  • 1st 13:43Tye Kartye (3–0)5v4 · high · wrist · 34 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 16:04David Goyette (4–0)grade A · wrist · rebound · 8 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 7:39Penalty
  • 2nd 18:06Dryden Hunt (4–1)low · 34 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 18:21Penalty
  • 3rd 7:07Penalty
  • 3rd 9:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Ryan Winterton (5–1)4v5 · high · snap · 13 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 15:00Penalty
  • 3rd 15:39Penalty
  • 3rd 15:53Jani Nyman (6–1)5v4 · high · slap · 36 ft · beat Devin Cooley