AHLDashboard
Wednesday, March 5

Utica Comets at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Utica Comets
1:5
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

UTCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
2.84.0
High danger
58
Chances
714
Shots
3232

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal32
7Scoring chances14
5High-danger chances8
2.80Expected goals4.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11924221.01.2
2nd151043331.41.0
3rd61317030.51.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC35:16 of the 3rd14:4414:44+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
32
Saves
27
Allowed
5
xGA
4.00
GSAx
-1.00
Shots faced
32
Saves
31
Allowed
1
xGA
2.80
GSAx
+1.80

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:23Jared Davidson (0–1)low · wrist · 29 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 1st 10:17Penalty
  • 1st 13:22Penalty
  • 1st 13:22Penalty
  • 1st 13:22Penalty
  • 1st 14:11Penalty
  • 1st 17:26David Reinbacher (0–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 1st 18:10Penalty
  • 1st 18:10Penalty
  • 1st 18:42Laurent Dauphin (0–3)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 1st 19:47Adam Beckman (1–3)low · wrist · 35 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 2:33Penalty
  • 3rd 3:02Penalty
  • 3rd 3:34Penalty
  • 3rd 5:16Logan Mailloux (1–4)5v4 · medium · tip · 29 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 13:28Penalty
  • 3rd 16:12Penalty
  • 3rd 16:12Penalty
  • 3rd 18:15Joshua Roy (1–5)grade A · snap · rebound · 12 ft · beat Isaac Poulter