AHLDashboard
Wednesday, March 5

Colorado Eagles at Bakersfield Condors

Dignity Health Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Colorado Eagles
3:4
Final / SO
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

COLBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
2.22.6
High danger
43
Chances
810
Shots
2229

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal29
8Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances3
2.19Expected goals2.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st71032110.70.7
2nd11853311.30.8
3rd4705010.20.8
OT0400000.00.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.59
GSAx
-0.41
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
2.19
GSAx
-0.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:33Seth Griffith (0–1)low · wrist · 22 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 6:02Penalty
  • 1st 8:44Penalty
  • 1st 9:43Jack Ahcan (1–1)5v4 · low · wrist · 61 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 1st 14:43Penalty
  • 1st 15:34Tye Felhaber (2–1)4v5 · medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 1st 18:39Alex Kannok Leipert (2–2)low · wrist · 57 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 0:42Penalty
  • 2nd 3:35Penalty
  • 2nd 11:47Penalty
  • 2nd 12:07Chris Wagner (3–2)5v4 · high · wrist · 14 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 14:30Penalty
  • 3rd 13:57Alex Swetlikoff (3–3)medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 16:00Penalty