AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 7

Rochester Americans at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Rochester Americans
3:4
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

ROCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
2.03.1
High danger
43
Chances
610
Shots
2532

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal32
6Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances3
1.98Expected goals3.10

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–110–30–10.1–0.9
2nd13–152–61–21.0–1.7
3rd8–64–13–00.9–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC214:25 of the 3rd5:355:35+0.025 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.10
GSAx
-0.90
Connor Hughes
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
1.98
GSAx
-1.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:46Penalty
  • 1st 13:28Penalty
  • 1st 18:56Penalty
  • 2nd 1:04Tyson Kozak (1–0)low · tip · 36 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 5:12Penalty
  • 2nd 10:33Penalty
  • 2nd 11:59Mason Jobst (2–0)5v4 · medium · slap · 32 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 14:07Alex Barré-Boulet (2–1)low · wrist · 24 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 8:56Penalty
  • 3rd 12:00Lucas Condotta (2–2)low · wrist · 20 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 13:34Joshua Roy (2–3)medium · wrist · 10 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 14:25Alex Barré-Boulet (2–4)low · snap · 41 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 18:37Noah Östlund (3–4)high · wrist · 9 ft · beat Connor Hughes