AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 7

Chicago Wolves at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Chicago Wolves
1:3
Final
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

CHIMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
44%56%
xG
1.51.7
High danger
22
Chances
56
Shots
1720

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

17Shots on goal20
5Scoring chances6
2High-danger chances2
1.50Expected goals1.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–61–21–00.5–0.5
2nd4–52–20–10.4–0.5
3rd8–92–21–10.6–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Spencer Martin
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.65
GSAx
-1.35
Matthew Murray
Shots faced
17
Saves
16
Allowed
1
xGA
1.50
GSAx
+0.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:35Penalty
  • 1st 10:44Juha Jääskä (1–0)4v5 · grade A · 12 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 1st 16:32Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 0:44Jake Lucchini (1–1)4v5 · high · 14 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 4:51Penalty
  • 2nd 6:39Penalty
  • 2nd 10:27Penalty
  • 2nd 10:27Penalty
  • 2nd 11:12Penalty
  • 2nd 13:56Penalty
  • 2nd 14:15Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 13:34Penalty
  • 3rd 13:45Joakim Kemell (1–2)5v4 · high · 33 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 18:43Ondrej Pavel (1–3)empty net · medium · 23 ft · beat Spencer Martin