AHLDashboard
Friday, March 7

San Diego Gulls at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

San Diego Gulls
3:2
Final / OT
Ontario Reign

The sheet

SDONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
3.53.6
High danger
67
Chances
1115
Shots
2436

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal36
11Scoring chances15
6High-danger chances7
3.51Expected goals3.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st31535230.51.3
2nd91229130.71.5
3rd9831010.70.7
OT3130301.50.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
36
Saves
34
Allowed
2
xGA
3.60
GSAx
+1.60
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
3.51
GSAx
+0.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:46Penalty
  • 1st 7:26Penalty
  • 1st 13:20Penalty
  • 1st 13:20Penalty
  • 1st 14:39Penalty
  • 1st 16:08Penalty
  • 1st 16:53Samuel Fagemo (0–1)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 19:43Penalty
  • 2nd 7:15Penalty
  • 2nd 7:15Penalty
  • 2nd 7:15Penalty
  • 2nd 7:15Penalty
  • 2nd 7:15Penalty
  • 2nd 7:15Penalty
  • 2nd 7:15Penalty
  • 2nd 7:15Penalty
  • 2nd 9:49Roland McKeown (1–1)low · 55 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 2nd 10:44Penalty
  • 2nd 11:22Francesco Pinelli (1–2)4v5 · high · 15 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 13:17Penalty
  • 2nd 15:26Yegor Sidorov (2–2)low · 36 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 3rd 0:29Penalty
  • 3rd 0:29Penalty
  • 3rd 7:57Penalty
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • OT 1:27Ryan Carpenter (3–2)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Pheonix Copley