AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 8

Calgary Wranglers at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Calgary Wranglers
5:6
Final
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

CGYMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.33.7
High danger
27
Chances
1216
Shots
3235

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal35
12Scoring chances16
2High-danger chances7
2.28Expected goals3.68

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–115–31–20.9–1.0
2nd6–113–60–30.5–1.2
3rd13–134–71–20.8–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY117:01 of the 3rd2:592:59+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devin Cooley
Shots faced
35
Saves
29
Allowed
6
xGA
3.68
GSAx
-2.32
Domenic DiVincentiis
Shots faced
32
Saves
27
Allowed
5
xGA
2.28
GSAx
-2.72

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:10Penalty
  • 1st 2:10Penalty
  • 1st 4:47Dominic Toninato (0–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 6:17Penalty
  • 1st 14:59Penalty
  • 1st 15:19Sam Morton (1–1)5v4 · medium · 38 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 1st 19:21Penalty
  • 1st 19:21Penalty
  • 1st 19:21Penalty
  • 1st 19:21Penalty
  • 2nd 5:12Fabian Wagner (1–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 8:18Adam Klapka (2–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 13:27Penalty
  • 2nd 13:27Penalty
  • 2nd 16:29Danny Zhilkin (2–3)high · 10 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 18:13Penalty
  • 3rd 2:43Jonathan Aspirot (3–3)low · rebound · 64 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 4:41Dryden Hunt (4–3)medium · 32 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 6:39Mason Shaw (4–4)high · rebound · 14 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 7:49Isaak Phillips (4–5)low · 61 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 15:41Yan Kuznetsov (5–5)low · 56 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 16:10Penalty
  • 3rd 17:01Mason Shaw (5–6)5v4 · medium · 22 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 19:58Penalty