Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

1:4

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

LVCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

15%85%

xG: 1.42.7
High danger: 17
Chances: 611
Shots: 1823

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal23

6Scoring chances11

1High-danger chances7

1.39Expected goals2.70

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	3–11	1–6	0–3	0.3–1.4
2nd	3–7	1–3	1–2	0.2–0.7
3rd	12–5	4–2	0–2	0.9–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LV	2	16:35 of the 3rd	3:25	3:25	+0.016 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cal Petersen

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 19
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.60
GSAx: -0.40

Cooper Black

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 17
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.39
GSAx: +0.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 16:42Penalty
1st 18:23John Leonard (0–1)5v4 · grade A · 14 ft · beat Cal Petersen
2nd 2:20Penalty
2nd 3:06Penalty
2nd 13:13John Leonard (0–2)high · 15 ft · beat Cal Petersen
3rd 10:50Zayde Wisdom (1–2)medium · rebound · 41 ft · beat Cooper Black
3rd 16:35Oliver Okuliar (1–3)low · 40 ft · beat Cal Petersen
3rd 19:23Will Lockwood (1–4)empty net · low · 26 ft