AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 8

Colorado Eagles at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Colorado Eagles
3:4
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

COLHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
14%86%
xG
1.12.4
High danger
25
Chances
411
Shots
1427

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

14Shots on goal27
4Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances5
1.15Expected goals2.39

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–103–32–20.7–0.8
2nd4–51–30–00.2–0.5
3rd4–120–50–30.2–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kevin Mandolese
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.39
GSAx
-1.61
Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
14
Saves
11
Allowed
3
xGA
1.15
GSAx
-1.85

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:51Chris Wagner (1–0)high · tip · 7 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 1st 1:45Gage Quinney (1–1)high · snap · 11 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 1st 4:24Penalty
  • 1st 14:30Penalty
  • 1st 14:46Chris Wagner (2–1)5v4 · high · tip · 5 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 4:49Penalty
  • 2nd 7:16Jean-Luc Foudy (3–1)medium · wrist · 17 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 19:09Penalty
  • 2nd 19:27Penalty
  • 2nd 19:55Tanner Laczynski (3–2)5v4 · medium · snap · 28 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 3rd 7:46Penalty
  • 3rd 10:29Dysin Mayo (3–3)low · wrist · 32 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 3rd 11:35Tanner Laczynski (3–4)medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 3rd 17:04Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Penalty