AHLDashboard
Saturday, March 8

Toronto Marlies at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Toronto Marlies
3:2
Final / OT
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

TORBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
33%67%
xG
2.43.6
High danger
36
Chances
814
Shots
3037

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal37
8Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances6
2.39Expected goals3.56

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st91013110.60.8
2nd131769131.32.0
3rd5711110.30.4
OT3301010.20.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
37
Saves
35
Allowed
2
xGA
3.56
GSAx
+1.56
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
2.39
GSAx
-0.61

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:32Penalty
  • 1st 17:25Penalty
  • 2nd 2:10Penalty
  • 2nd 5:03Penalty
  • 2nd 7:29Penalty
  • 2nd 7:34Alex Steeves (1–0)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 8:01Alex Nylander (2–0)low · 48 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 10:30Penalty
  • 2nd 12:45Penalty
  • 2nd 13:22Samuel Bolduc (2–1)5v4 · low · 66 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 13:59Penalty
  • 3rd 0:43Penalty
  • 3rd 1:22Penalty
  • 3rd 13:45Adam Beckman (2–2)high · rebound · 16 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • OT 4:26Jacob Quillan (3–2)low · 25 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen