AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 8

Grand Rapids Griffins at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
4:5
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

GRCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
62%38%
xG
2.81.9
High danger
34
Chances
136
Shots
2522

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal22
13Scoring chances6
3High-danger chances4
2.79Expected goals1.93

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–58–32–31.5–0.8
2nd9–55–31–11.0–0.6
3rd3–120–00–00.2–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR116:56 of the 3rd3:042:36+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dustin Tokarski
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
2.79
GSAx
-1.21
Jack Campbell
Shots faced
22
Saves
17
Allowed
5
xGA
1.93
GSAx
-3.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:15Penalty
  • 1st 11:39Ondrej Becher (1–0)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 1st 11:49Juha Jääskä (1–1)grade A · 6 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 1st 13:59Penalty
  • 2nd 0:32Nate Danielson (2–1)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 2nd 6:18Penalty
  • 2nd 10:50Brogan Rafferty (3–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 2nd 13:07Penalty
  • 2nd 15:13Skyler Brind’Amour (3–2)medium · 14 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 7:02Charles Alexis Legault (3–3)low · 59 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 15:13Joakim Ryan (3–4)low · 66 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 18:54Austin Watson (4–4)low · 7 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 3rd 19:22Austin Wagner (4–5)low · 25 ft · beat Jack Campbell