AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 8

San Jose Barracuda at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

San Jose Barracuda
4:5
Final / OT
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

SJABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
2.91.9
High danger
32
Chances
108
Shots
2830

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal30
10Scoring chances8
3High-danger chances2
2.95Expected goals1.91

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–55–03–01.6–0.2
2nd9–84–30–10.9–0.6
3rd4–151–50–10.4–1.0
OT1–20–00–00.1–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB116:56 of the 3rd3:040:26+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
1.90
GSAx
-3.10
Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
28
Saves
24
Allowed
4
xGA
2.95
GSAx
-1.05

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:21Jimmy Schuldt (1–0)low · 57 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 15:37Penalty
  • 1st 15:37Penalty
  • 1st 15:37Penalty
  • 1st 15:51Pavol Regenda (2–0)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 17:20Penalty
  • 1st 17:20Penalty
  • 1st 17:20Penalty
  • 2nd 1:19Max Sasson (2–1)4v5 · low · 27 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 5:27Colin White (3–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 5:29Penalty
  • 2nd 7:56Penalty
  • 2nd 9:06Danila Klimovich (3–2)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 14:11Penalty
  • 2nd 15:17Penalty
  • 3rd 3:52Tristen Nielsen (3–3)low · 32 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 7:55Penalty
  • 3rd 8:50Colin White (4–3)5v4 · medium · 14 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 3rd 12:24Penalty
  • 3rd 17:22Linus Karlsson (4–4)medium · 9 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • OT 3:09Linus Karlsson (4–5)low · 31 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere