Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

3:2

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

LVCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

71%29%

xG: 2.91.9
High danger: 52
Chances: 139
Shots: 2623

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal23

13Scoring chances9

5High-danger chances2

2.95Expected goals1.86

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–5	4–2	1–0	1.1–0.3
2nd	10–8	6–1	2–0	1.2–0.4
3rd	5–10	3–6	2–2	0.7–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLT	1	19:29 of the 3rd	0:31	0:31	+0.010 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ken Appleby

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 23
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.95
GSAx: -0.05

Aleksei Kolosov

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 21
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.86
GSAx: -0.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:05Penalty
1st 3:05Penalty
1st 3:05Penalty
1st 6:49Penalty
1st 6:49Penalty
1st 19:25Jacob Gaucher (1–0)grade A · 11 ft · beat Ken Appleby
2nd 2:45Penalty
2nd 2:45Penalty
2nd 6:26Trevor Carrick (1–1)low · 54 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
2nd 9:38Penalty
2nd 14:23Brendan Furry (2–1)high · 10 ft · beat Ken Appleby
3rd 0:35Jesse Puljujärvi (2–2)high · 9 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
3rd 8:58Penalty
3rd 18:34Penalty
3rd 19:29Anthony Richard (3–2)5v4 · low · 54 ft · beat Ken Appleby