AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 9

Springfield Thunderbirds at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Springfield Thunderbirds
5:2
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

SPRBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
32%68%
xG
1.82.6
High danger
24
Chances
88
Shots
2238

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal38
8Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances4
1.84Expected goals2.57

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–144–20–10.8–0.8
2nd5–111–41–20.4–1.0
3rd7–133–21–10.7–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
38
Saves
36
Allowed
2
xGA
2.57
GSAx
+0.57
Hunter Miska
Shots faced
21
Saves
17
Allowed
4
xGA
1.83
GSAx
-2.17

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:27Penalty
  • 1st 12:47Marshall Warren (0–1)low · 68 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 13:06Penalty
  • 1st 14:45Liam Foudy (0–2)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 15:36Penalty
  • 2nd 10:31Nikita Alexandrov (1–2)low · 47 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 11:48Penalty
  • 2nd 12:17Dalibor Dvorský (2–2)5v4 · high · 17 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 3rd 0:55Penalty
  • 3rd 1:17Matthew Peca (3–2)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 3rd 5:32Penalty
  • 3rd 6:22Hugh McGing (4–2)4v5 · medium · 19 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 3rd 10:04Penalty
  • 3rd 13:33Penalty
  • 3rd 13:33Penalty
  • 3rd 14:14Penalty
  • 3rd 19:34Dalibor Dvorský (5–2)empty net · low · 160 ft