Syracuse Crunch at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Syracuse Crunch

5:1

Final

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

SYRWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

74%26%

xG: 2.51.8
High danger: 42
Chances: 125
Shots: 3027

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

WBS above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal27

12Scoring chances5

4High-danger chances2

2.50Expected goals1.76

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–9	5–3	0–1	0.8–0.8
2nd	9–9	2–2	2–1	0.7–0.6
3rd	10–9	5–0	2–0	0.9–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
WBS	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Filip Larsson

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 25
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.49
GSAx: -1.51

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 26
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.76
GSAx: +0.76

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:15Mathias Laferrière (0–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
1st 16:16Tristan Allard (1–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Filip Larsson
2nd 17:16Anthony Angello (2–1)grade A · 166 ft · beat Filip Larsson
3rd 0:43Penalty
3rd 11:04Conor Geekie (3–1)high · 18 ft · beat Filip Larsson
3rd 17:23Max Crozier (4–1)empty net · low · 162 ft
3rd 17:56Joel Teasdale (5–1)high · 12 ft · beat Filip Larsson
3rd 18:24Penalty