AHLDashboard
Wednesday, March 12

Hartford Wolf Pack at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Hartford Wolf Pack
1:2
Final
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

HFDGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
28%72%
xG
2.83.9
High danger
510
Chances
917
Shots
3431

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal31
9Scoring chances17
5High-danger chances10
2.76Expected goals3.88

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16935331.41.1
2nd131154231.11.1
3rd51118040.21.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD117:57 of the 3rd2:032:03+0.047 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
33
Allowed
1
xGA
2.76
GSAx
+1.76
Shots faced
31
Saves
29
Allowed
2
xGA
3.88
GSAx
+1.88

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:02Penalty
  • 2nd 5:31Penalty
  • 2nd 10:44Ondrej Becher (0–1)high · 13 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 15:34Penalty
  • 2nd 16:42Jake Leschyshyn (1–1)5v4 · high · 6 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 3rd 17:05Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Penalty
  • 3rd 17:57Austin Watson (1–2)5v4 · high · 36 ft · beat Dylan Garand