AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 12

Hershey Bears at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Hershey Bears
4:5
Final / SO
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

HERWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
22%78%
xG
2.63.9
High danger
411
Chances
717
Shots
3529

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal29
7Scoring chances17
4High-danger chances11
2.61Expected goals3.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–64–32–31.0–0.8
2nd16–92–72–41.1–1.3
3rd5–91–60–30.3–1.3
OT2–50–10–10.2–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
35
Saves
31
Allowed
4
xGA
2.61
GSAx
-1.39
Clay Stevenson
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
3.89
GSAx
-0.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:08Ville Koivunen (0–1)high · tip · 10 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 1st 9:28Penalty
  • 1st 9:52Rutger McGroarty (0–2)5v4 · grade A · tip · rebound · 11 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 1st 11:19Dalton Smith (1–2)high · tip · 13 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 0:57Ivan Miroshnichenko (2–2)low · wrist · 49 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 3:30Penalty
  • 2nd 3:30Penalty
  • 2nd 15:44Mathias Laferrière (2–3)medium · wrist · 25 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 17:12Chase Priskie (3–3)low · tip · 16 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 0:41Avery Hayes (3–4)high · snap · 13 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 8:25Penalty
  • 3rd 12:24Alex Limoges (4–4)medium · tip · 7 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 19:36Penalty