AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 14

Bridgeport Islanders at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Bridgeport Islanders
1:6
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

BRIBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.53.4
High danger
48
Chances
1114
Shots
2124

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal24
11Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances8
2.48Expected goals3.45

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–102–71–20.6–1.3
2nd7–64–21–10.7–0.5
3rd7–85–52–51.1–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
3.45
GSAx
-2.55
Leevi Meriläinen
Shots faced
21
Saves
20
Allowed
1
xGA
2.48
GSAx
+1.48

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:49Penalty
  • 1st 4:40Angus Crookshank (0–1)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 8:09Penalty
  • 1st 12:02Penalty
  • 1st 13:52Tyler Boucher (0–2)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 16:51Penalty
  • 1st 18:55Penalty
  • 2nd 4:52Penalty
  • 2nd 8:06Penalty
  • 2nd 8:37Penalty
  • 2nd 9:31Jeremy Davies (0–3)low · rebound · 68 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 16:28Penalty
  • 2nd 16:28Penalty
  • 3rd 1:34Maxence Guenette (0–4)low · 29 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 4:24Keean Washkurak (0–5)grade A · 11 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 7:39Penalty
  • 3rd 10:25Jack Randl (1–5)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 3rd 13:44Penalty
  • 3rd 15:52Xavier Bourgault (1–6)grade A · 11 ft · beat Jakub Skarek