AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 14

Hartford Wolf Pack at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Hartford Wolf Pack
0:4
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

HFDRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.14.2
High danger
28
Chances
915
Shots
2637

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal37
9Scoring chances15
2High-danger chances8
2.11Expected goals4.18

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st2–170–100–40.0–2.3
2nd16–98–01–01.5–0.5
3rd8–111–51–40.6–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue
Shots faced
37
Saves
33
Allowed
4
xGA
4.18
GSAx
+0.18
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
26
Saves
26
Allowed
0
xGA
2.11
GSAx
+2.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:01Kevin Korchinski (0–1)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 6:10Penalty
  • 1st 10:42Penalty
  • 2nd 0:56Penalty
  • 2nd 1:26Penalty
  • 2nd 6:58Penalty
  • 2nd 15:04Penalty
  • 2nd 16:15Penalty
  • 2nd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 1:42Penalty
  • 3rd 7:28Penalty
  • 3rd 8:23Joey Anderson (0–2)5v4 · high · 21 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 8:33Penalty
  • 3rd 15:49Andreas Athanasiou (0–3)high · rebound · 36 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 17:04Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Andreas Athanasiou (0–4)empty net · high · 21 ft · beat Louis Domingue