AHLDashboard
Saturday, March 15

Manitoba Moose at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Manitoba Moose
5:4
Final / OT
Iowa Wild

The sheet

MBIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
3.73.5
High danger
55
Chances
1612
Shots
3043

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal43
16Scoring chances12
5High-danger chances5
3.69Expected goals3.50

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13992312.10.7
2nd101855021.01.5
3rd41615120.31.4
OT3010100.40.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
43
Saves
39
Allowed
4
xGA
3.50
GSAx
-0.50
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
3.69
GSAx
-1.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:47Penalty
  • 1st 4:02Jamie Engelbert (1–0)grade A · 13 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 7:44Penalty
  • 1st 9:02Jack Peart (1–1)5v4 · low · 36 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 1st 11:47Penalty
  • 1st 12:39Jaret Anderson-Dolan (2–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 12:59Danny Zhilkin (3–1)low · 31 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 2:10Penalty
  • 2nd 4:59Penalty
  • 2nd 6:30Liam Öhgren (3–2)5v4 · low · 37 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 7:59Penalty
  • 2nd 10:44Penalty
  • 2nd 10:44Penalty
  • 2nd 15:51Ryan Sandelin (3–3)high · tip · 10 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 19:09Fabian Wagner (4–3)medium · 9 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 5:21Penalty
  • 3rd 7:17Ben Jones (4–4)5v4 · high · tip · 10 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • OT 4:07Jaret Anderson-Dolan (5–4)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt