AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 15

Cleveland Monsters at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Cleveland Monsters
4:5
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

CLETEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
3.13.3
High danger
33
Chances
1216
Shots
3632

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal32
12Scoring chances16
3High-danger chances3
3.05Expected goals3.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–113–90–30.7–1.6
2nd14–146–52–01.5–1.2
3rd12–73–21–00.9–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE119:14 of the 3rd0:460:46+0.016 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
3.05
GSAx
-0.95
Pavel Cajan
Shots faced
32
Saves
27
Allowed
5
xGA
3.30
GSAx
-1.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:52Jordan Dumais (1–0)medium · 30 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 13:24Penalty
  • 1st 17:16Chase Wheatcroft (1–1)medium · 13 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 1st 17:37Penalty
  • 2nd 0:38Penalty
  • 2nd 0:46Matěj Blümel (1–2)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 2nd 8:11Matthew Seminoff (1–3)medium · 24 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 2nd 11:39Penalty
  • 2nd 11:58Joseph LaBate (2–3)5v4 · high · 6 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 13:20Penalty
  • 2nd 14:55Matěj Blümel (2–4)5v4 · medium · 12 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 2nd 18:50Drew Bavaro (3–4)low · 38 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 4:08Penalty
  • 3rd 7:03Max McCue (4–4)low · 23 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 19:14Matěj Blümel (4–5)low · 25 ft · beat Pavel Cajan