AHLDashboard
Sunday, March 16

Calgary Wranglers at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Calgary Wranglers
0:1
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

CGYABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
72%28%
xG
2.21.6
High danger
52
Chances
64
Shots
3021

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal21
6Scoring chances4
5High-danger chances2
2.20Expected goals1.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13620200.70.2
2nd91134221.01.2
3rd8410100.50.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
30
Allowed
0
xGA
2.20
GSAx
+2.20
Shots faced
21
Saves
20
Allowed
1
xGA
1.60
GSAx
+0.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:22Penalty
  • 1st 12:31Penalty
  • 2nd 7:31Penalty
  • 2nd 7:37Linus Karlsson (0–1)5v4 · grade A · 10 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 2nd 10:28Penalty
  • 2nd 12:00Penalty
  • 2nd 13:38Penalty
  • 2nd 15:06Penalty
  • 2nd 15:06Penalty
  • 2nd 15:06Penalty
  • 3rd 14:33Penalty