AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 21

Texas Stars at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Texas Stars
3:0
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

TEXCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
3.44.0
High danger
76
Chances
1319
Shots
3043

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal43
13Scoring chances19
7High-danger chances6
3.39Expected goals3.96

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–134–61–21.1–1.1
2nd9–154–32–11.0–1.0
3rd9–155–104–31.3–1.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI36:02 of the 3rd13:5813:58+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
43
Saves
43
Allowed
0
xGA
3.96
GSAx
+3.96
Dustin Tokarski
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
3.39
GSAx
+0.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 16:14Penalty
  • 1st 16:14Penalty
  • 1st 16:14Penalty
  • 1st 19:29Chase Wheatcroft (1–0)high · rebound · 14 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 2nd 3:01Penalty
  • 2nd 11:54Kole Lind (2–0)low · 58 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 2nd 16:34Penalty
  • 2nd 19:44Penalty
  • 2nd 19:44Penalty
  • 3rd 4:10Penalty
  • 3rd 6:02Emilio Pettersen (3–0)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 4 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 3rd 6:44Penalty
  • 3rd 11:45Penalty
  • 3rd 15:29Penalty
  • 3rd 18:29Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty