AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 22

San Diego Gulls at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

San Diego Gulls
2:4
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

SDHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
1.32.5
High danger
24
Chances
410
Shots
1427

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

14Shots on goal27
4Scoring chances10
2High-danger chances4
1.28Expected goals2.46

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–112–51–20.4–1.1
2nd5–81–21–10.5–0.6
3rd4–81–30–10.3–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD216:51 of the 3rd3:093:09+0.014 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.46
GSAx
-1.54
Akira Schmid
Shots faced
14
Saves
12
Allowed
2
xGA
1.28
GSAx
-0.72

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:49Penalty
  • 1st 6:57Penalty
  • 1st 6:57Penalty
  • 1st 6:57Penalty
  • 1st 10:01Penalty
  • 1st 10:59Matyas Sapovaliv (0–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 34 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 12:00Penalty
  • 1st 15:31Penalty
  • 1st 18:53Penalty
  • 2nd 0:25Carsen Twarynski (1–1)5v4 · low · wrist · 34 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 2nd 1:03Penalty
  • 2nd 5:21Robert Hägg (1–2)low · wrist · 28 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 6:01Penalty
  • 2nd 12:25Yegor Sidorov (2–2)low · wrist · 20 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 2nd 15:36Penalty
  • 3rd 1:24Penalty
  • 3rd 3:20Robert Hägg (2–3)5v4 · medium · tip · 19 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 7:07Penalty
  • 3rd 7:07Penalty
  • 3rd 7:07Penalty
  • 3rd 9:04Penalty
  • 3rd 15:04Penalty
  • 3rd 16:51Jakub Demek (2–4)5v4 · medium · slap · 18 ft · beat Oscar Dansk