AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 22

San Jose Barracuda at Bakersfield Condors

Dignity Health Arena · Bakersfield, CA

San Jose Barracuda
8:6
Final
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

SJBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
75%25%
xG
3.42.6
High danger
81
Chances
139
Shots
3139

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal39
13Scoring chances9
8High-danger chances1
3.38Expected goals2.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–133–52–11.0–1.1
2nd13–115–13–01.4–0.7
3rd7–155–33–00.9–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BAK−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BAK116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aaron Dell
Shots faced
39
Saves
33
Allowed
6
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-3.40
Collin Delia
Shots faced
31
Saves
23
Allowed
8
xGA
3.38
GSAx
-4.62

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:33Connor Corcoran (0–1)high · wrist · rebound · 10 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 1st 5:04Penalty
  • 1st 5:54Connor Carrick (0–2)5v4 · medium · wrist · 19 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 1st 7:00Seth Griffith (0–3)medium · wrist · 30 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 1st 8:40Braden Hache (1–3)high · wrist · rebound · 16 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 1st 12:10Walker Duehr (2–3)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 1st 14:11Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 6:50Cam Dineen (2–4)low · wrist · 36 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 2nd 10:30Penalty
  • 2nd 17:39Danil Gushchin (3–4)high · wrist · 13 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 18:06Danil Gushchin (4–4)low · wrist · rebound · 33 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 18:58Ethan Cardwell (5–4)medium · wrist · 12 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 3:18Cam Dineen (5–5)low · wrist · 16 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 3rd 3:38Noah Philp (5–6)medium · backhand · 19 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 3rd 5:01Penalty
  • 3rd 5:37Andrew Poturalski (6–6)5v4 · high · wrist · 12 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 6:05Penalty
  • 3rd 14:53Penalty
  • 3rd 15:35Andrew Poturalski (7–6)5v4 · medium · slap · 31 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 19:39Andrew Poturalski (8–6)empty net · high · wrist · 16 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 19:50Penalty
  • 3rd 19:50Penalty