AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 23

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Coachella Valley Firebirds
4:2
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

CVCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
2.92.4
High danger
34
Chances
1411
Shots
3528

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal28
14Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances4
2.87Expected goals2.41

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–54–01–01.1–0.2
2nd8–123–51–20.6–1.1
3rd12–117–61–21.2–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY36:48 of the 3rd13:129:41+0.019 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devin Cooley
Shots faced
35
Saves
31
Allowed
4
xGA
2.87
GSAx
-1.13
Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.41
GSAx
+0.41

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:52Penalty
  • 1st 8:17Ben Meyers (1–0)medium · tip · 15 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 12:11Penalty
  • 1st 12:11Penalty
  • 2nd 2:18Penalty
  • 2nd 5:10Penalty
  • 2nd 9:28Max Lajoie (2–0)low · wrist · 62 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 17:18Penalty
  • 3rd 2:24Penalty
  • 3rd 6:48Ryan Winterton (3–0)medium · wrist · 9 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 7:40Penalty
  • 3rd 8:38Martin Frk (3–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 25 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 9:54Penalty
  • 3rd 12:07Penalty
  • 3rd 14:58David Goyette (4–1)medium · wrist · 25 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 15:25Penalty
  • 3rd 15:25Penalty
  • 3rd 15:25Penalty
  • 3rd 15:25Penalty
  • 3rd 19:25Lucas Ciona (4–2)medium · tip · 9 ft · beat Nikke Kokko