AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, March 25

Chicago Wolves at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Chicago Wolves
5:4
Final / SO
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

CHIRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
3.23.9
High danger
58
Chances
914
Shots
3131

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal31
9Scoring chances14
5High-danger chances8
3.17Expected goals3.88

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–113–72–61.1–2.1
2nd13–125–53–21.6–1.3
3rd5–61–20–00.3–0.4
OT1–20–00–00.1–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Dustin Tokarski
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.88
GSAx
-0.12
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.17
GSAx
-0.83

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:31Zach Sanford (0–1)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 1st 2:13Penalty
  • 1st 3:03Jackson Cates (0–2)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 1st 5:28Penalty
  • 1st 7:23Skyler Brind’Amour (1–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 9:54Penalty
  • 1st 12:21Penalty
  • 1st 14:57Penalty
  • 2nd 4:18Penalty
  • 2nd 6:11Justin Robidas (2–2)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 9:31Penalty
  • 2nd 11:50Jackson Cates (2–3)medium · 16 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 2nd 12:47Jackson Cates (2–4)grade A · rebound · 31 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 2nd 13:43Riley Stillman (3–4)low · 63 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 15:35Penalty
  • 2nd 16:23Bradly Nadeau (4–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 0:56Penalty
  • 3rd 10:46Penalty
  • 3rd 10:46Penalty
  • 3rd 13:56Penalty
  • OT 4:18Penalty