AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 26

Providence Bruins at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Providence Bruins
2:5
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

PROCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
2.73.7
High danger
58
Chances
1113
Shots
2434

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal34
11Scoring chances13
5High-danger chances8
2.67Expected goals3.72

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–92–30–20.5–0.8
2nd9–75–24–01.2–0.6
3rd8–184–81–61.0–2.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

PRO−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
PRO116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
34
Saves
29
Allowed
5
xGA
3.72
GSAx
-1.28
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
2.67
GSAx
+0.67

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:14Penalty
  • 1st 10:24Penalty
  • 1st 13:27Penalty
  • 1st 13:27Penalty
  • 1st 13:27Penalty
  • 1st 13:40Penalty
  • 1st 15:19Trevor Carrick (0–1)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 1st 16:57Penalty
  • 2nd 7:37Penalty
  • 2nd 8:57Riley Duran (1–1)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 15:08Oliver Wahlstrom (2–1)grade A · rebound · 18 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 15:35Penalty
  • 2nd 19:25Penalty
  • 2nd 19:25Penalty
  • 2nd 19:55Penalty
  • 3rd 1:01John Leonard (2–2)5v4 · high · rebound · 45 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 2:18Penalty
  • 3rd 4:12Jesse Puljujärvi (2–3)5v4 · high · 19 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 9:49Penalty
  • 3rd 17:43C.J. Smith (2–4)empty net · low · 33 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 19:22Rasmus Asplund (2–5)empty net · high · 18 ft · beat Brandon Bussi