AHLDashboard
Wednesday, March 26

Chicago Wolves at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Chicago Wolves
4:3
Final / OT
Iowa Wild

The sheet

CHIIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
2.72.9
High danger
35
Chances
1011
Shots
3736

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal36
10Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances5
2.73Expected goals2.88

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st91043220.81.0
2nd91244120.90.9
3rd131124010.80.8
OT6300000.30.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
37
Saves
33
Allowed
4
xGA
2.74
GSAx
-1.26
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
2.88
GSAx
-0.12

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:19Penalty
  • 1st 11:03Ryan Suzuki (1–0)high · 12 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 11:23Penalty
  • 1st 14:27Felix Unger Sörum (2–0)medium · 26 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 17:56Penalty
  • 1st 18:14Bradly Nadeau (3–0)5v4 · high · 25 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 18:55Penalty
  • 2nd 2:01Penalty
  • 2nd 18:49Travis Boyd (3–1)high · 16 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 2nd 18:59Michael Milne (3–2)high · 11 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 3rd 3:31Michael Milne (3–3)medium · 30 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 3rd 12:26Penalty
  • OT 2:32Penalty
  • OT 3:09Penalty
  • OT 4:46Penalty
  • OT 4:46Bradly Nadeau (4–3)5v4 · low · 47 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj