AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 26

Colorado Eagles at Bakersfield Condors

Dignity Health Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Colorado Eagles
3:2
Final / OT
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

COLBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
79%21%
xG
3.01.7
High danger
53
Chances
105
Shots
3820

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal20
10Scoring chances5
5High-danger chances3
3.01Expected goals1.69

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–83–13–00.7–0.5
2nd8–43–11–10.7–0.3
3rd16–74–31–21.3–0.8
OT6–10–00–00.3–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Olivier Rodrigue
Shots faced
38
Saves
35
Allowed
3
xGA
3.01
GSAx
+0.01
Trent Miner
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
1.69
GSAx
-0.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:52Chris Wagner (1–0)high · wrist · 10 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 1st 15:02Penalty
  • 2nd 0:29Penalty
  • 2nd 2:36Cameron Wright (1–1)high · wrist · 17 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 3:44Penalty
  • 2nd 4:14Penalty
  • 2nd 7:12Penalty
  • 2nd 11:32Penalty
  • 2nd 12:17Penalty
  • 2nd 13:21Penalty
  • 3rd 6:00James Hamblin (1–2)high · wrist · 9 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 6:56Jacob MacDonald (2–2)low · slap · 39 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • OT 2:22Penalty
  • OT 4:05Jere Innala (3–2)5v4 · low · slap · 30 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue