AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 28

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
2:3
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

LVBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
3.32.8
High danger
46
Chances
1111
Shots
3423

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal23
11Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances6
3.29Expected goals2.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–45–32–21.3–0.6
2nd14–94–31–01.1–0.8
3rd9–102–51–40.8–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
34
Saves
32
Allowed
2
xGA
3.29
GSAx
+1.29
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
2.78
GSAx
-0.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:11Penalty
  • 1st 0:11Penalty
  • 1st 0:11Penalty
  • 1st 2:20Penalty
  • 1st 10:01Penalty
  • 1st 10:01Penalty
  • 1st 10:01Penalty
  • 1st 11:55Penalty
  • 1st 13:31Ethan Samson (1–0)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 1st 17:53Penalty
  • 1st 18:57Penalty
  • 1st 18:57Penalty
  • 2nd 5:04Stephen Halliday (1–1)low · 37 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 9:16Penalty
  • 2nd 9:16Penalty
  • 2nd 9:35Penalty
  • 2nd 12:15Penalty
  • 2nd 16:45Penalty
  • 2nd 19:00Penalty
  • 2nd 19:13Penalty
  • 3rd 2:58Elliot Desnoyers (2–1)high · 9 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 10:38Djibril Touré (2–2)low · 63 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 12:01Hayden Hodgson (2–3)high · 11 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 17:14Penalty