AHLDashboard
Saturday, March 29

Texas Stars at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Texas Stars
3:1
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

TEXCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
4.12.1
High danger
113
Chances
158
Shots
3022

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal22
15Scoring chances8
11High-danger chances3
4.10Expected goals2.15

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8954301.20.8
2nd10743331.21.0
3rd12661501.70.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
4.10
GSAx
+1.10
Shots faced
22
Saves
21
Allowed
1
xGA
2.15
GSAx
+1.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:00Penalty
  • 1st 14:23Luca Del Bel Belluz (0–1)low · snap · 31 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 4:43Penalty
  • 2nd 6:37Penalty
  • 2nd 10:51Kole Lind (1–1)medium · backhand · 9 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 12:33Kyle Looft (2–1)low · snap · 31 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 18:42Penalty
  • 2nd 18:42Penalty
  • 3rd 4:30Penalty
  • 3rd 9:08Penalty
  • 3rd 9:08Penalty
  • 3rd 9:08Penalty
  • 3rd 9:25Penalty
  • 3rd 18:04Matěj Blümel (3–1)empty net · high · snap · 13 ft · beat Jet Greaves