AHLDashboard
Saturday, March 29

Toronto Marlies at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Toronto Marlies
2:1
Final / SO
Belleville Senators

The sheet

TORBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
4.04.4
High danger
76
Chances
1317
Shots
3837

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal37
13Scoring chances17
7High-danger chances6
4.05Expected goals4.38

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st61629030.62.3
2nd141052311.70.7
3rd14855411.41.0
OT4311010.30.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
38
Saves
37
Allowed
1
xGA
4.05
GSAx
+3.05
Shots faced
37
Saves
36
Allowed
1
xGA
4.38
GSAx
+3.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:50Xavier Bourgault (0–1)medium · backhand · 19 ft · beat Matt Murray
  • 1st 10:19Penalty
  • 1st 10:19Penalty
  • 1st 10:19Penalty
  • 1st 10:19Penalty
  • 1st 14:33Penalty
  • 1st 18:46Penalty
  • 1st 19:34Penalty
  • 2nd 3:05Penalty
  • 2nd 4:44Joseph Blandisi (1–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 21 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 11:48Penalty
  • 2nd 17:01Penalty
  • 2nd 17:01Penalty
  • 3rd 8:32Penalty
  • 3rd 14:08Penalty
  • OT 4:47Penalty