Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

3:1

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

LVLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

25%75%

xG: 1.32.4
High danger: 24
Chances: 48
Shots: 2225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal25

4Scoring chances8

2High-danger chances4

1.32Expected goals2.38

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–8	2–3	0–2	0.5–0.8
2nd	10–7	2–2	2–0	0.7–0.5
3rd	4–10	0–3	0–2	0.2–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	16:48	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Parker Gahagen

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 24
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.38
GSAx: +1.38

Connor Hughes

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 19
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.32
GSAx: -1.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:51Nikita Grebenkin (1–0)medium · wrist · 30 ft · beat Connor Hughes
1st 5:50Penalty
1st 9:19Penalty
1st 15:33Zayde Wisdom (2–0)low · 52 ft · beat Connor Hughes
1st 19:03Penalty
2nd 2:21Garrett Wilson (3–0)high · backhand · 19 ft · beat Connor Hughes
2nd 13:39Penalty
3rd 3:18Penalty
3rd 8:57Sean Farrell (3–1)high · tip · 13 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
3rd 15:03Penalty
3rd 19:30Penalty