Calgary Wranglers at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Calgary Wranglers

1:3

Final

San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CGYSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

39%61%

xG: 1.52.2
High danger: 32
Chances: 610
Shots: 2125

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SD above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal25

6Scoring chances10

3High-danger chances2

1.55Expected goals2.23

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–11	2–3	1–1	0.6–0.8
2nd	10–3	4–2	2–0	0.8–0.3
3rd	3–11	0–5	0–1	0.1–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CGY	2	12:54 of the 3rd	7:06	7:06	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Waltteri Ignatjew

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 22
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.23
GSAx: -0.77

Ville Husso

Shots faced: 21
Saves: 20
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.55
GSAx: +0.55

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 8:11Penalty
1st 8:11Penalty
1st 10:31Penalty
1st 11:44Penalty
1st 14:58Jérémie Poirier (1–0)5v4 · low · 59 ft · beat Ville Husso
1st 18:31Penalty
2nd 7:58Penalty
2nd 12:50Nico Myatovic (1–1)medium · 15 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
3rd 7:40Stian Solberg (1–2)low · 50 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
3rd 12:02Penalty
3rd 12:54Roland McKeown (1–3)5v4 · medium · 19 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
3rd 16:43Penalty