AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 30

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
2:5
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

WBSCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
61%39%
xG
4.03.9
High danger
97
Chances
2016
Shots
2637

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal37
20Scoring chances16
9High-danger chances7
4.04Expected goals3.88

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–137–73–21.2–1.3
2nd9–147–53–21.6–1.5
3rd9–106–43–31.2–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
37
Saves
32
Allowed
5
xGA
3.88
GSAx
-1.12
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
4.04
GSAx
+2.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:39Matt Kiersted (0–1)low · 56 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 10:27Penalty
  • 1st 12:57Jesse Puljujärvi (0–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 1:47Penalty
  • 2nd 9:08Penalty
  • 2nd 9:08Penalty
  • 2nd 12:49Atley Calvert (1–2)high · 7 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 1:38Valtteri Puustinen (2–2)low · 24 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 2:56Penalty
  • 3rd 3:47John Leonard (2–3)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 5:39Penalty
  • 3rd 8:57Penalty
  • 3rd 14:55Penalty
  • 3rd 14:55Penalty
  • 3rd 14:55Penalty
  • 3rd 18:01John Leonard (2–4)empty net · low · 88 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 18:52Rasmus Asplund (2–5)empty net · grade A · 2 ft · beat Sergei Murashov