AHLDashboard
Sunday, March 30

Syracuse Crunch at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Syracuse Crunch
3:2
Final / OT
Rochester Americans

The sheet

SYRROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
2.62.4
High danger
44
Chances
87
Shots
2427

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal27
8Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances4
2.59Expected goals2.36

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st41014020.31.0
2nd9822110.60.7
3rd10941211.10.7
OT1010100.60.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.36
GSAx
+0.36
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
2.59
GSAx
-0.41

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:56Penalty
  • 1st 4:49Penalty
  • 1st 7:08Penalty
  • 1st 18:38Penalty
  • 2nd 6:35Noah Östlund (0–1)low · 40 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 9:19Penalty
  • 2nd 13:05Brett Murray (0–2)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 13:15Jack Finley (1–2)high · 8 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 18:47Penalty
  • 2nd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 14:59Anthony Angello (2–2)grade A · rebound · 27 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • OT 0:14Conor Sheary (3–2)grade A · 24 ft · beat Devon Levi