AHLDashboard
Sunday, March 30

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Coachella Valley Firebirds
4:0
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

CVCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
82%18%
xG
5.12.7
High danger
114
Chances
259
Shots
4129

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

024P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

41Shots on goal29
25Scoring chances9
11High-danger chances4
5.11Expected goals2.69

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st131274311.91.0
2nd169124431.91.1
3rd12861401.40.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
41
Saves
37
Allowed
4
xGA
5.11
GSAx
+1.11
Shots faced
29
Saves
29
Allowed
0
xGA
2.69
GSAx
+2.69

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:19Penalty
  • 1st 16:22Ben Meyers (1–0)grade A · rebound · 20 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 2:56Logan Morrison (2–0)low · 36 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 5:40Penalty
  • 2nd 5:40Penalty
  • 2nd 10:11Penalty
  • 2nd 13:13Penalty
  • 2nd 15:49Penalty
  • 2nd 16:36Jagger Firkus (3–0)5v4 · high · 23 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 2:19Penalty
  • 3rd 2:19Penalty
  • 3rd 2:19Penalty
  • 3rd 13:02Penalty
  • 3rd 14:31David Goyette (4–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev