AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 30

Bridgeport Islanders at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Bridgeport Islanders
5:4
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

BRITORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
3.53.8
High danger
49
Chances
1214
Shots
4036

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal36
12Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances9
3.50Expected goals3.83

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–133–52–21.1–1.0
2nd16–147–72–71.7–2.2
3rd11–92–20–00.8–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
40
Saves
35
Allowed
5
xGA
3.50
GSAx
-1.50
Hunter Miska
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
3.84
GSAx
-0.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:42Penalty
  • 1st 13:42Robert Mastrosimone (0–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 1st 16:15Luke Haymes (0–2)high · 13 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 1st 16:35Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 0:37Logan Shaw (0–3)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 0:51Liam Foudy (1–3)high · 7 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 1:34Joseph Blandisi (1–4)high · 24 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 11:30Brian Pinho (2–4)medium · 13 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 14:21Liam Foudy (3–4)medium · 24 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 16:36Penalty
  • 2nd 17:52Adam Beckman (4–4)5v4 · low · 38 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 18:29Penalty
  • 3rd 1:19Cam Thiesing (5–4)medium · 16 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 6:57Penalty