AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, April 1

Abbotsford Canucks at Bakersfield Condors

Dignity Health Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
2:1
Final
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

ABBBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
81%19%
xG
3.61.4
High danger
64
Chances
126
Shots
3713

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal13
12Scoring chances6
6High-danger chances4
3.56Expected goals1.41

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–76–52–41.5–1.1
2nd11–32–11–00.8–0.2
3rd14–34–03–01.3–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BAK−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BAK116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brett Brochu
Shots faced
37
Saves
35
Allowed
2
xGA
3.56
GSAx
+1.56
Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
13
Saves
12
Allowed
1
xGA
1.41
GSAx
+0.41

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:15Seth Griffith (0–1)high · wrist · 11 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 4:35Penalty
  • 1st 16:46Penalty
  • 2nd 2:04Penalty
  • 2nd 10:41Penalty
  • 2nd 11:43Penalty
  • 3rd 2:54Penalty
  • 3rd 2:54Penalty
  • 3rd 8:47Penalty
  • 3rd 9:10Tristen Nielsen (1–1)5v4 · high · backhand · 10 ft · beat Brett Brochu
  • 3rd 9:48Penalty
  • 3rd 16:13Phillip Di Giuseppe (2–1)low · wrist · 30 ft · beat Brett Brochu
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty