AHLDashboard
Wednesday, April 2

Utica Comets at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Utica Comets
2:1
Final / OT
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

UTCTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
31%69%
xG
2.22.6
High danger
36
Chances
811
Shots
2528

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal28
8Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances6
2.17Expected goals2.61

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8631210.80.4
2nd91427040.71.6
3rd7733110.70.6
OT1100000.10.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
2.61
GSAx
+1.61
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
2.17
GSAx
+0.17

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:50Penalty
  • 1st 2:42Max Willman (1–0)4v5 · high · 24 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 1st 5:17Penalty
  • 1st 13:04Penalty
  • 2nd 1:14Penalty
  • 2nd 2:34Penalty
  • 2nd 5:39Penalty
  • 2nd 9:49Logan Shaw (1–1)low · 24 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 19:54Penalty
  • 3rd 0:23Penalty
  • 3rd 2:15Penalty
  • OT 1:27Mike Hardman (2–1)low · 35 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby