Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves

4:3

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

40%60%

xG: 2.83.4
High danger: 57
Chances: 1112
Shots: 3834

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal34

11Scoring chances12

5High-danger chances7

2.81Expected goals3.37

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	15–7	5–0	2–0	1.1–0.3
2nd	7–16	1–8	1–5	0.4–2.0
3rd	16–11	5–4	2–2	1.3–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 38
Saves: 34
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.81
GSAx: -1.19

Spencer Martin

Shots faced: 34
Saves: 31
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.37
GSAx: +0.37

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:23Tim Gettinger (0–1)low · wrist · 34 ft · beat Spencer Martin
1st 5:45Penalty
1st 12:09Josiah Slavin (1–1)medium · wrist · 13 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 9:20Penalty
2nd 11:52Penalty
2nd 17:15Amadeus Lombardi (1–2)medium · wrist · 28 ft · beat Spencer Martin
3rd 4:21Penalty
3rd 10:38Penalty
3rd 11:49Justin Robidas (2–2)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
3rd 13:12Juha Jääskä (3–2)low · slap · 23 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
3rd 13:35Amadeus Lombardi (3–3)high · 6 ft · beat Spencer Martin
3rd 14:44Bradly Nadeau (4–3)high · 13 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa