AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 2

Syracuse Crunch at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Syracuse Crunch
5:2
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

SYRBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
59%41%
xG
2.21.8
High danger
21
Chances
58
Shots
2722

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal22
5Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances1
2.18Expected goals1.80

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–92–20–00.7–0.7
2nd8–83–42–00.9–0.8
3rd9–50–20–10.6–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL30:00 of the 3rd20:0013:34+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
1.80
GSAx
-0.20
Leevi Meriläinen
Shots faced
16
Saves
13
Allowed
3
xGA
1.49
GSAx
-1.51
Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
11
Saves
9
Allowed
2
xGA
0.69
GSAx
-1.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:11Gabriel Dumont (1–0)low · 29 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 1st 13:53Roman Schmidt (2–0)low · 57 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 1st 15:16Penalty
  • 1st 18:39Penalty
  • 1st 18:39Penalty
  • 2nd 2:39Penalty
  • 2nd 4:53Dylan Duke (3–0)high · 5 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 7:32Penalty
  • 2nd 9:24Conor Geekie (4–0)5v4 · low · 44 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 10:01Penalty
  • 2nd 11:47Penalty
  • 2nd 15:25Jan Jeník (4–1)medium · 19 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 18:11Penalty
  • 3rd 5:43Philippe Daoust (4–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 6:52Penalty
  • 3rd 10:10Penalty
  • 3rd 12:47Penalty
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • 3rd 15:23Conor Geekie (5–2)5v4 · low · 41 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 15:48Penalty
  • 3rd 15:48Penalty