AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 2

Abbotsford Canucks at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
6:3
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

ABBSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
1.81.8
High danger
12
Chances
66
Shots
2326

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal26
6Scoring chances6
1High-danger chances2
1.76Expected goals1.82

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–70–10–10.5–0.4
2nd4–130–40–10.2–1.1
3rd12–66–11–01.1–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikita Tolopilo
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
1.82
GSAx
-1.18
Ville Husso
Shots faced
23
Saves
17
Allowed
6
xGA
1.76
GSAx
-4.24

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:39Dino Kambeitz (1–0)low · 42 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 18:34Stian Solberg (1–1)low · 43 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 2nd 1:31Penalty
  • 2nd 6:31Judd Caulfield (1–2)medium · 9 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 2nd 10:27Penalty
  • 2nd 14:44Penalty
  • 2nd 14:44Penalty
  • 2nd 15:07Ty Mueller (2–2)4v5 · low · 34 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 19:37Penalty
  • 2nd 19:47Justin Bailey (2–3)5v4 · high · 17 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 6:44Kirill Kudryavtsev (3–3)medium · 14 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 7:43Akito Hirose (4–3)medium · 21 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 11:25Max Sasson (5–3)medium · 27 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 13:24Penalty
  • 3rd 13:24Penalty
  • 3rd 16:55Arshdeep Bains (6–3)empty net · high · 6 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 18:49Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty