AHLDashboard
Friday, April 4

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
1:7
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

WBSCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
3.44.8
High danger
108
Chances
1520
Shots
3136

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal36
15Scoring chances20
10High-danger chances8
3.43Expected goals4.76

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st101055311.11.1
2nd111667331.31.7
3rd101048441.11.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
36
Saves
29
Allowed
7
xGA
4.76
GSAx
-2.24
Shots faced
31
Saves
30
Allowed
1
xGA
3.43
GSAx
+2.43

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:51Penalty
  • 1st 4:09Roman Ahcan (0–1)medium · 28 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 1st 7:32Penalty
  • 1st 11:49Penalty
  • 1st 11:49Penalty
  • 1st 11:49Penalty
  • 2nd 3:39Penalty
  • 2nd 6:32Penalty
  • 2nd 6:38Mikael Pyyhtiä (0–2)5v4 · high · 23 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 8:00Roman Ahcan (0–3)high · 12 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 10:28Guillaume Richard (0–4)medium · 10 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 11:05Penalty
  • 2nd 14:02Penalty
  • 3rd 5:58James Malatesta (0–5)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 6:11Penalty
  • 3rd 7:28Vasily Ponomarev (1–5)5v4 · high · tip · 8 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 11:58Penalty
  • 3rd 14:57Penalty
  • 3rd 17:00Penalty
  • 3rd 17:00Penalty
  • 3rd 17:00Penalty
  • 3rd 17:00Penalty
  • 3rd 17:00Luca Del Bel Belluz (1–6)medium · 9 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 18:51Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Roman Ahcan (1–7)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 19:02Penalty
  • 3rd 19:02Penalty