AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 4

San Jose Barracuda at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

San Jose Barracuda
6:3
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

SJCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
81%19%
xG
4.21.7
High danger
94
Chances
144
Shots
3218

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal18
14Scoring chances4
9High-danger chances4
4.23Expected goals1.69

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–71–30–30.4–0.9
2nd12–94–02–01.1–0.6
3rd14–29–17–12.7–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trent Miner
Shots faced
32
Saves
26
Allowed
6
xGA
4.23
GSAx
-1.77
Aaron Dell
Shots faced
18
Saves
15
Allowed
3
xGA
1.69
GSAx
-1.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:22Penalty
  • 1st 2:22Penalty
  • 1st 9:14Filip Bystedt (1–0)low · 33 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 9:54Jayson Megna (1–1)high · 13 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 1st 18:30Penalty
  • 2nd 9:41Cooper Gay (1–2)low · 38 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 2nd 13:10Scott Sabourin (2–2)medium · rebound · 34 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 18:22Jere Innala (2–3)low · 35 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 2nd 19:46Patrick Giles (3–3)high · 12 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 3:01Penalty
  • 3rd 5:33Penalty
  • 3rd 6:51Patrick Giles (4–3)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 9:59Lucas Vanroboys (5–3)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 12:44Penalty
  • 3rd 17:50Anthony Vincent (6–3)empty net · low · 30 ft · beat Trent Miner